Book Recommendation – Everything is Obvious

I just finished reading Duncan Watts’ book Everything is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer. I highly recommend it – it has changed the way I think about many things. From the Amazon book description:

Drawing on the latest scientific research, along with a wealth of historical and contemporary examples, Watts shows how common sense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into believing that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in turn, why attempts to predict, manage, or manipulate social and economic systems so often go awry.

Watts succinctly and clearly explains why expecting social sciences to be like the physical sciences is inappropriate, why problems at scale are typically so very different from superficially similar problems at the micro-level (for instance, why trying to apply household economics and credit card management strategies to the federal budget is a terrible idea), and why it is so very, very hard to learn from history or past circumstances. There’s a lot of other good material and thought-provoking results, including some useful discussion of different types of complexity and what’s knowable about certain kinds of problems (and potential solutions). One of the blurbs:

“Every once in a while, a book comes along that forces us to re-examine what we know and how we know it. This is one of those books. And while it is not always pleasurable to realize the many ways in which we are wrong, it is useful to figure out the cases where our intuitions fail us.”

And it’s true. It’s one of those rare books that has made me view almost everything I read in the policy space (which is a lot of what I read)–analysis, news, prediction, planning, all of it–in a different light. I learned something from almost every chapter and my brain has been tickled and is (hopefully) rewiring itself a bit.

It was recommended to me by one of my best and most brilliant sources. I pass along the recommendation wholeheartedly. Read it. You’ll think different.

Posted in Books, Economics, Federal Politics, Health & Food, Religion & Politics, Science | Comments Off

Mambo Preschool

The other day TheGuy informed me that when he dropped off TheLittleGuy at school the whole crowd of 3-year-olds was dancing along happily to “Mambo Number 5.” And, indeed, TLG has quickly decided this is his new favorite song, occasionally even supplanting Frank Turner’s “If Ever I Stray” (to which he knows all the words).

I was pretty amused by this, but also raised an eyebrow over the dinner table when we were talking about it and TLG demanded to know if there was a music video to “Mambo Number 5.” Since we now have easy access to YouTube via the AppleTV it’s easy enough for us to find and show him random music videos now and then on the big screen downstairs.

But I have to say, as I thought about the song, I had some reservations about showing him the video. I’d sort of quickly convinced myself that, for now, the lyrics would be incomprehensible to him. But the video is a different matter. And so I had a brief conversation with myself in my head, and then with TheGuy, about my views on letting TLG watch this video. (It has scantily clad women dancing, slapping their own butts, and so on.) And I decided that while I don’t care for TLG to have a steady screen diet of suggestive music videos, that now and then a “sexy” video doesn’t really bother me. Violent content is an entirely other matter – even violent cartoon content – though.

So, there I go having this efficient, but rather overthought, decision process and we let him watch the video and he dances and dances like a crazy person. Go on, you try to listen to Lou Bega’s version of “Mambo Number 5″ and not dance like a crazy person.

The next morning, I ask one of his teachers about it. “So [TLG] really likes ‘Mambo Number 5′” and give her a squirrelly look.

And she says, “Oh yeah, we have the Disney version.”

Ohhhhh. Sure enough, there’s a remade version, also by Lou Bega, on the album “Livin’ the Vida Mickey.”

Ohhhh.

Of course.

Jump up and down and move it all around
Shake your head to the sound
Put your hands on the ground
Take one step left and one step right
One to the front and one to the side
Clap your hands once and clap your hands twice
And if it looks like this then you doin’ it right
A little bit of Minnie in my life
A little bit of Mickey by her side
A little bit of Donald’s all I need
A little bit of Daisy’s what I see
A little bit of Pluto in the sun Huey Dewey Louie can’t go wrong
A little bit of Goofy everyone!
A little bit of him makes life so fun

Much more appropriate, yah?

I swear, TLG’s going to be well out of pre-school before I even come close to having this pre-school business all figured out.

Mambo
Posted in Music, Parenting | Comments Off

Misattribution – Noted for the Record

I was terribly saddened to learn of Steve Jobs’ passing last week. I’ve been reading (and retweeting) many reactions and jotting down a few notes of my own. Hope to say more soon — probably not anything particularly original, but it still somehow seems worth noting here.

However, today I had a little Twitter moment when Gruber posted that article quoting Eric Schmidt quoting Steve Jobs about having kids. Schmidt is quoted as follows:

Steve and I were talking about children one time, and he said the problem with children is that they carry your heart with them. The exact phrase was, “It’s your heart running around outside your body.” That’s a Steve Jobs quote. He had a level of perception about feelings and emotions that was far beyond anything I’ve met in my entire life.

But here’s the thing. It’s not a Steve Jobs quote. (Gruber’s since noted this on his site.) Here’s how I’ve seen it most often:

“Making the decision to have a child – it is momentous. It is to decide forever to have your heart go walking around outside your body. ” – Elizabeth Stone

This is a notion that gets stated and restated on parenting blogs all the time. To the point where there’s practically a bona fide mommy war about whether one likes the quote or finds it irritating. Now, we don’t actually know what Jobs said to Schmidt. Schmidt’s story is probably accurate as far as he remembers. And BusinessWeek probably got the Schmidt quote right. And of course people, at least at this moment, and for the most part, want to believe that Jobs was all that and amazingly insightful about parenting, too.

But it just so striking to me – as someone who hangs around not just in tech circles, but in parenting and mommy blog circles – and I immediately recognized the quote and did just a tiny bit of digging to see whether it was possibly true that it had originated with Jobs. (Stranger things have happened.) And it’s not even that every business reporter should be expected to be up-to-speed on all the memes in the mom-blog-universe. Obviously. But now that Eric Schmidt has attributed the quote to Jobs, any search on it in Google now implies that it was original with Jobs – unless you do a bit of digging.

In terms of that mommy war I mentioned, I’ve always liked the sentiment. It rings very true to me. But isn’t it interesting how now that people think Steve Jobs said it, it’s seen as amazingly deep and profound. I’d bet that if the quote were seen in isolation, many of those praising Jobs for his deep insight in this area would have dismissed it as cutesy and nice, but perhaps a tad overwrought.

However inadvertently this misattribution has come about, I think it’s a shame. And it shines a little spotlight – just a little one; this is a wee small micro-example in the scheme of things – on 1) the fact that women’s perspectives and knowledge are under-represented in tech circles and 2) the ease with which powerful men, without even trying, can effectively erase women’s voices and contributions.

Posted in Current Events, Parenting | 1 Comment

Changing the World Requires Ease of Use

Rafe asks which of Apple and Google have changed the world the most in the last 10 years. He holds up Apple’s iPhone and Google’s PageRank-spawned search ecosystems as their respective most world-changing contributions.  I don’t really find the question of which of them has made ‘more’ of a contribution all that interesting (and their successes are quite symbiotic, besides).  But I think a key factor in the success of both is the extent to which they each have made ease of use paramount.

In Google’s case, their main search page is still about as simple as it could possibly be, making searching for information across the web as simple, and, not to be overlooked, as fast, as typing a few words or a phrase. Apple’s iPhone is so damn intuitive that my kid was using it at 15 months old. Each company’s relationship to its developer base is infused with an emphasis on ease of use, as well.  Google’s amazing scaling infrastructure for its in-house developers is legendary. And while there are plenty of things to quibble about regarding developing apps for iOS, the app store model that Apple has promulgated makes it incredibly straightforward to develop and sell software on a platform with an immediate potential user base in the tens of millions.

Now, these superb and user-centered approaches to design and development are not entirely representative of each company’s approach to users.  Google’s ongoing “real name” fiasco is precisely the opposite of a user-centered, value-sensitive approach to design. Enragingly so, in fact, but that’s another post. And Apple has had a long tradition of stepping out ahead of where its users were (a trivial example: removing floppy drives)–sometimes a mark of visionary leadership and other times just pushy and irritating.  And there are plenty of other things that are disappointing and at times infuriating about each company. But for sheer ease of use–by ordinary, non-tech-savvy humans–at scale on core products/functionalities, there’s almost no competition.  And that has had a huge part to play in how they’ve each been able to be world-changing.

[I am trying to heed Lyke's and Macleod's suggestions and get back to posting stuff on my own space. The G+ mess has also been a huge motivator. Let's see how long this lasts!]

Posted in Technology | 5 Comments

What’s Your Recommended Policy?

Right now, if you were to ask me what I want carved into my tombstone, I think it might be “But what’s your policy position?” And I don’t mean that in a federal policy or legislative context all the time, although sometimes I do, but I mean it more of a general sense. I get so impatient with conversations that go on and on about how everyone is feeling about something, without anyone actually clarifying whether they think there should be a policy change.

Don’t get me wrong, feelings are important, and those conversations are important to have. In certain contexts.  But if I don’t know you, I’m not really likely to care a whole lot about your feelings on a matter. I’m much more inclined to care about whether you advocate a particular policy (or policy change) that affects me or the people I do care about.  I just don’t have enough energy to care about the inner feelings of every person on the planet. I can maybe summon up energy to care about policies that affect people, though.  Maybe it’s because I’m an erstwhile computer scientist, and we are all about multiple levels of indirection.  But anyway, this is all very abstract. I’m going to provide a couple of examples – they happen to be from the parenting universe, but this issue comes up all the time.

Example 1: Rob Rummel-Hudson got trapped in a heated discussion in a comment thread about whether parents of disabled children should be considered part of the “disability community.” I find that question to be completely bizarre. Someone on twitter linked to the thread, posing this question, and I asked: Would resolving this question foster better policy/health/care/education outcomes for disabled individuals? Because really, isn’t that the fundamental issue? (I get that drawing lines around who’s in and who’s out of various communities can be an important exercise, especially when it comes to self-determination and such. But whether or not you’ll let me in a particular club, or fuss at me about how I self-label, I still think the policy question is more important.  The labeling issue comes up in feminist communities, too – I find it singularly uninteresting, but maybe that’s just because I’m getting old.)

Example 2: In the infertility community there is (apparently) an uproar over a woman confessing to the New York Times that she chose to reduce a twin pregnancy achieved through assistive reproductive technologies. As usual, A Little Pregnant had a good take on it. But I was troubled by her conclusion. She said: “Except for the staunchest absolutists, it seems we judge reproductive choices based on the motives behind them.”

Now, that’s probably true as far as it goes. But again, I find it baffling to focus on who’s judging whom and why. That probably puts me in the staunch absolutist camp. Go ahead and be all Judgey-McJudgerson all you want. Maybe it means you’re a jerk. But whatever. As long as you’re not advocating a policy that in some way affects whether this or any other woman could make the choice that she did. I don’t much care. Well, I mean, I care that people are jerks and assholes online (and offline), and I try not to associate with such people, but I do not find endless discussions about, say, how everyone feels about selective reduction to be all that interesting unless a) you’re someone I care about and/or you want my opinion about your situation or b) it’s about policy (health policy, healthcare, reproductive rights, legality, that sort of thing).  But a hundred people spouting off about what they think about this woman’s individual decision? What? Why do we do that? You know, I’ve been on these here intarwebz a long time, I can probably write that conversation down before it even happens.

Oh, here’s another example. The #nymwars and Google+’ ‘common name’ policy. Now that is a complete clusterf*** meriting a whole other post. I’m deeply troubled by what Google is doing and believe it has far-reaching and negative implications. Here, I care a great deal about the policy. But I find completely uninteresting the people who say: “Well, I’m fine with using my real name” or “Google can do whatever they want.”  Well, good for you and good for Google. But it’s not about you individually, it’s not about what Google has the legal ability to do, it’s about what the policy should be and how we come to that determination. And policy should not be based on any one individuals’ particular fee-fees!

None of this is to say I don’t judge. I’m human. I have opinions. And if I don’t have an opinion about a topic and you ask me for it, it’s not going to take me too long at all to come up with one.  But far, far too often there is a massive conflation between what people think or feel about some other individual’s choices or situation, and what people think about a general abstracted policy or suggested course of action. Even worse, are people who translate their distaste for an individual or behavior into advocacy for policy without thinking through the broader considerations. That way also lies madness. Case in point: people shrieking about how everyone who gets foodstamps should be drug-tested (or whatever the latest foolish Facebook meme is).  The fact that you don’t think poor people who happen to use drugs should have their food subsidized is perhaps an interesting moral calculus you’ve made, but that doesn’t mean it’s good policy or that it will even result in the goals you claim to espouse (e.g., saving taxpayer money.)

And I recognize the hypocrisy in grumbling about these sorts of conversations while also not wishing for any sort of policy mechanisms against them. Sure, of course, talk about whatever you want.  It can be very useful to have enough self-awareness to be able to articulate one’s own emotional reaction to something. And depending on how close the issue is to one’s life, it may even be necessary. But I think the next step also matters: to ask the question, “So what?” What should change? How should my own actions be different? Should they? Should there be a policy change and do I need to or want to advocate for that? And so on.

More and more often I find myself wanting to push people spouting off on the Internet to clarify their policy position instead of their emotional reaction. I typically don’t, because that’s… kind of rude, I suppose. And I do care about and want to hear about my friends’ feelings, of course. But these two things–emotional reactions to a situation and recommended policies/actions–are not (and shouldn’t be) the same in all cases.  And that distinction matters.

Posted in Civil Rights & Feminism, General Musings, Relationships, Weblogs & Citizen Writing | 3 Comments

Enjoying Limitless Content

We are boiling the planet and our elected leaders are working harder than ever to deliberately and completely sabotage the U.S. and by extension global economy.

I can barely stomach scanning the political stuff in my Twitter stream, much less contributing my own typey-typey outrage about it all. (I’m pretty sure doing anything like ‘calling my Congresscritter’ is well nigh useless.)

So, instead, I’ve been indulging in some mindless entertainment on the tube. Spouse and I have finally managed to do some visible upgrades to the inside of the house (apart from the new floors on the top levels 2 summers ago) – we’ve been here almost 10 years, so it was long overdue. We had new carpet put in the basement, fresh paint, and some fresh fixtures. Prior to that, we removed nearly everything, threw a bunch of it away (hurrah! purge purge!), and then re-arranged the entire space. Then, we finally replaced our 15+-year-old cathode ray tube tv with a plasma flat panel that TLG calls a “big! giant! tv!”

And we’re finding that we all now want to spend time down in the basement. Partially because it’s been so hot (record-breaking heat waves; yuck) and the basement is very cool. But also because it’s now a pleasant space to consume limitless content  on a giant, beautiful screen available to us via the Internet. The Netflix + Roku + big screen combination is pretty compelling. I’ve also installed an AppleTV to have access to our own media library (music, podcasts, and photos) on the big tv downstairs.  We’ve also introduced TLG to a bit of Dance Dance Revolution on our old PS2. It’s all great geeky fun.

Right now I’m making my way through Eureka – which is amusing and a bit silly, but engaging enough without being so intense that I can’t do other things (like say, some episodes of Torchwood).

Posted in Entertainment | Comments Off

15 Books

A Canticle for Leibowitz

Image via Wikipedia

Many moons ago a meme was making the rounds suggesting that people jot down 15 books in 15 minutes – 15 books you’ve read that will always stick with you – and don’t think too hard about it. I started this post awhile ago, so it probably took me longer than 15 minutes, but whatever, it’s a post! In looking over the list, it strikes me that many of these are memorable because they were my first exposure to either an approach to storytelling or to an idea.

  • Midnight’s Children by Salman Rushdie – My impression is that people either love or hate this. I love it. The writing itself is amazing and the story (and the writing) made some new pathways in my brain in that I both learned new things and in that it changed the way I think.
  • The Gospel According to Jesus Christ by Jose Saramago – I think this was my first serious alternative Gospel. There’s that little slice of my long-repressed fundie self that has her eyes wide open, tut-tutting, “I didn’t know you were allowed to do this sort of thing!”
  • Getting Things Done by David Allen – Has completely transformed the way I approach my day-to-day work. Well, on good days, anyway.
  • The Mists of Avalon by Marion Zimmer Bradley – One of those alternative storytellings; had great fun reading this feminist take on King Arthur as a teenager.
  • Snow Crash by Neal Stephenson – Just, yes. For those of us who played in certain kinds of virtual worlds.
  • Canticle for Leibowitz by Walter Miller – Classic post-apocalyptic scifi.
  • Twelve Angry Men by Reginald Rose – Read this in junior high, I think, and it may be part of what’s been a real foundational skepticism of authority ever since.
  • Cadillac Desert – Totally eye-opening about western U.S. water politics. I had no idea about a lot of this, having lived in the verdant northeast and mid-Atlantic my entire life.
  • John Adams by David McCullough – Extremely well-written historical biography; learned a lot.
  • Spock’s World by Diane Duane – The first serious attempt at world-building inside an established universe that I was exposed to – and it has held up quite well over time. As far as I’m concerned Duane’s versions of Vulcan and Romulan society should be canon.
  • Red Mars by Kim Stanley Robinson – Really enjoyed the discussion of what making Mars habitable/terraforming might actually mean.
  • You Got to Dance With Them What Brung You by Molly Ivins – Amazingly sharp and funny political commentary. She is unmatched and much missed.
  • [Collected short stories of Philip K. Dick] – Read these in a big binge over a few short weeks – try it; it’ll really mess with your brain.
  • Between Parent and Child by Haim Ginott – Here as a representative of several parenting books I really like and really need to re-read more often.
  • Rising Tide by John Barry – Distressing similarly to Cadillac Desert and I’m reminded of it since I currently read John McQuaid’s Path of Destruction about Katrina.
Posted in Books | Comments Off

TLG Made it to 3!

So TheLittleGuy turned 3 last month. That feels like a big milestone (although not as big a milestone as turning 1, actually. I don’t know what’s going to compare to the relief at sheer survival – mine and his – of early infancy .) But still, 3 is big. And part of the reason it’s big is that it seems to me that 3 is when tips start becoming less generic. I’ve been a big fan of the organization ZeroToThree and their monthly newsletter. And I joked this spring that I’m a bit panicked not to be getting those monthly tips anymore.

I think that people’s personalities are evident very, very early on – if you’re paying attention – but even so, there are so many nearly-universal milestones between 0 and 3 that generic advice will basically apply. It seems, though, that right around preschool age, the personality differences start manifesting themselves enough that generic advice is less useful. I haven’t come across a good FourToSix newsletter, and while there are still plenty of typical developmental stages ahead of us, I find myself filtering most parenting advice even more than ever now. “Will tactic X work with the person I know my kid to be?” is the question I end up asking myself. Anyway, shorter: things are getting a bit less logistically complicated (hey, we can all use the same toothpaste in the house, now! woot!) and more strategically complicated.

On the other hand, though, I’ve also mentioned to several people that in some sense we’re done now right? I kid (mostly), but there is so much hyper-anxiety pressed upon parents about how critical the early childhood years are that I feel like whatever chance we had to do a good job – well – he’s 3 now, so we’re past most of those opportunities! So we did do a bunch of stuff that middle class parents are fussed at about:

  • Exclusively breastfed for several months and breastfed a long time after that. (Except with that issue, there’s always the ‘just so long, but not a day longer!’ type of hysteria too; sheesh.)
  • We focused on whole foods, he doesn’t really know the word dessert, has never had soda, only gets diluted juice or the rare juicebox treat when out somewhere; has had oatmeal every morning for breakfast for about a year and a half, and so on. In fact, I think he is really made of breastmilk (for awhile) and oatmeal.
  • At least one of us has read to him every single night of his life.
  • We’ve use phthalate-free, BPA-free stuff the vast majority of the time.
  • We provided lots and lots of cuddles and baby massage and leg rubs and foot rubs and pats down and snuggles down to sleep – no ‘disattachment’ possible if we had anything to say about it.
  • He’s been greeted with some variation of a big hug, and “I love you, and I am so happy to see you!” every day.
  • He has been clothed almost exclusively in soft cotton – but not organic (can’t afford that; sorry child – hope it won’t lead you to therapy later.)
  • We tried as best we could to let his own interests emerge (modulo the fact that he lives with 2 other people who have their own interests that we can’t help but demonstrate in front of him)
  • We’ve managed to keep his screen time quite minimal and his exposure to commercials/video advertising almost non-existent.
  • … and probably more stuff I’ve forgotten already …

Now, there are still plenty of ways we’ve screwed up, I’m sure. Some would argue that the fact that he hasn’t been with one of us every hour of his life for these three years has done irreparable damage – but we live in the society and economy we do, so that can’t be helped. Also, 24×7 infant- and toddler-care care is not one of my, umm, core competencies. There are things I wish we’d done more of and things I wish we’d done less of, but I feel like we’ve done ok at setting a decent foundation for him.

We’ll keep doing the best we can, but if all the exhortations about the importance of those early years are right, then many things are just no longer in our control! And our influence matters less and less. So, good luck, kiddo! Mama’s always happy to offer advice – let me know if you have any questions! ;-)

3 Years Old!
Posted in General Musings, Parenting | 2 Comments

A Few More CurrentMom Posts

2011-03-24 Understanding Energy and Radiation

2011-03-31 Google Tries Social Again with +1

2011-04-19 Commodifying the Pale Blue Dot

2011-05-17 Property and Copyright and Speculative Futures

I’m cutting back my posting there to about once a month or so for several reasons, not least of which is maybe I could use that typey-typey time to post something here once in awhile. Who knows?!

Posted in Meta, Technology | Comments Off

Insert Standard ‘is this thing on’ Joke

Torchwood Tower at Cardiff Bay

Image by givingnot@rocketmail.com via Flickr

Oh right – I have a blog. I should type something here! Short link dump? Let’s go.

Unless there are major changes, I’m pretty inclined to forbid TLG from playing any kind of organized/league football. Katie Granju wrote about her struggle with this issue as it relates to her teenager recently. (So far, TLG is obsessed with baseball, though; phew.)

I’m a big of David Roberts as filtered through his twitter stream. His post, “Policy in an age of post-truth politics” is important – needs to be understood by anyone wants to effect change, especially at the national level.

Nice well-linked post lamenting the sad fact that we can never read all the books, or listen to all the music. This fact makes me feel a small twinge of guilt every time I open up or huge iTunes library and search for an old favorite to listen to.

A flowchart to help determine if you’re having a rational discussion. The first question is really the most important – and one that I often want to (but don’t) ask in crazy FB discussions: “What kind of evidence would you consider legitimate with respect to the truth of your assertion?” Falsifiability is important. There is a whole faction of participants in the political discourse, however, who will just move the goalposts, rather than integrate new facts. So, we’re pretty much stuck.

On that cheery note, some recommendations for escapist entertainment: I’m incredibly late, but finally made it to Doctor Who. Recommended. And it’s streaming on Netflix, so easy to watch if you’re a subscriber. I also have seen all but “Children of Earth” (which looks grim) of Torchwood, and I may like that even better. I appreciate the casting and ‘grittiness’ (overused term, but apropos) of this series compared to most American crime/mystery of the week shows. And I just discovered yesterday that Netflix now has season 5 of MI-5, so I’ll be back to that – also well-cast, if a bit more stylish than Torchwood.

Posted in Current Events, Entertainment, Federal Politics | 2 Comments